[NL2-NL10] NL10: AJs 3way stab

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1865815
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $15.89 - VPIP: 42, PFR: 20, 3B: 6, AF: 1,0, Hands: 166
      BB: $7.73 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 6, 3B: 4, AF: 3,0, Hands: 154
      UTG: $4.85 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 0,6, Hands: 160
      MP: $9.55 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 12, 3B: 10, AF: 2,4, Hands: 84
      Hero (CO): $11.02 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,6, Hands: 56532
      BTN: $10.26 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 5,0, Hands: 61

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with J :spade: A :spade:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, 1 fold, SB calls $0.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($1.00) 5 :diamond: 3 :diamond: 5 :club: (3 players)
      SB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $0.60, SB folds, MP calls $0.60

      Turn: ($2.20) 2 :club: (2 players)
      MP bets $2.10, Hero folds

      At first I was skeptical that this could be a good stab, but since we basically have to worry only about the loose SB since MP is very often giving up I put his potential overcalling range in equilator and it would appear that we are even ahead of his range on this flop (depending on his range we have somewhere around the area of 58% equity if we exclude the openraiser). That combined with the fact that we have position and can get a free river card even + catch a pair makes me believe that a stab here is a good choice.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      As long SB is loose should be still fine, although on total blank board without even assuming us being ahead vs SB I wouldn't recommend taking stabs.

      Best Regards.