[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 QJs

    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players -

      UTG: $83.72
      CO: $53.11
      Hero (BTN): $79.92
      SB: $8.25
      BB: $49.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with Q :diamond: J :diamond:
      UTG raises to $1.43, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.43, 2 folds

      Flop: ($3.61) 7 :diamond: T :club: 9 :diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $3.61, Hero raises to $13.72, UTG raises to $32, Hero raises to $78.49, UTG calls $46.49

      Turn: ($160.59) 5 :diamond: (2 players)

      River: ($160.59) Q :spade: (2 players)


      UTG



      I think raise/broke could be +EV here even 160bb deep. After my raise:
      - I can take it down a lot of the times
      - He could call, and reevaluate with his stronger hands (f.e. overpairs), so I can improve, or barrel him off his hand
      - If we go broke, I'm not very far behind


      Asztal: T:club: 9:diamond: 7:diamond:
             Részesedés   Nyert  Osztozás
      MP3        60.19%  60.19%     0.00% { TT-99, 77, T9s, AdKd, AdTd, KdTd, Ad8d }
      BU         39.81%  39.81%     0.00% { QdJd }
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello pcfmcc02,

      Well, it ain't going to be a huge profit spot for us, cause it's quite obvious that the guy ain't folding his hand after the 3bet there. More likely going broke. And as long you pointed out that we get 39,81% equity we though going to need ~40% to be break-even. So it's kinda flippy spot and whichever you choose I wouldn't say is going to be totally wrong.

      Assuming that sometimes the guy could even go broke with wider range on the flop and which would add up us the equity and make profit.

      Best Regards.
    • Verum
      Verum
      Black
      Joined: 07.03.2007 Posts: 1,309
      Originally posted by pcfmcc02

      - He could call, and reevaluate with his stronger hands (f.e. overpairs), so I can improve, or barrel him off his hand
      don't think that that is true...you can't bet a blank turn, because he might check/jam that one and he isn't going to fold enough either...and if it isn't a blank....you hit it...therefore, betting him off a hand would not be a bluff, but a tragedy...

      ;)