[NL2-NL10] AQo

    • daisuke3823
      daisuke3823
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $13.26 (53 bb)
      SB: $27.83 (111.3 bb)
      BB: $23.02 (92.1 bb)
      Hero (UTG+1): $14.95 (59.8 bb)
      UTG+2: $26.88 (107.5 bb)
      MP1: $26.79 (107.2 bb)
      MP2: $41.12 (164.5 bb)
      MP3: $28.49 (114 bb)
      CO: $11.75 (47 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A Q
      Hero raises to $0.75, 3 folds, MP3 calls $0.75, 3 folds, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.35) 7 T A (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.34, MP3 folds, BB calls $1.34

      Turn: ($5.03) Q (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.50, BB raises to $5.25, Hero raises to $12.86 and is all-in, BB calls $7.61

      River: ($30.75) 3 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results:
      $30.75 pot ($1.38 rake)
      Final Board: 7 T A Q 3
      BB showed J K and won $29.37 ($14.42 net)
      Hero mucked A Q and lost (-$14.95 net)


      24/17/133 WTSD 33 FTCB 50.



      ボード: A:diamond: T:heart: 7:heart: Q:heart:
      equity win tie
      MP2 27.80% 22.50% 5.30% { QQ, TT, 77, AQs-ATs, A7s, QTs, KhJh, KhTh, AQo-ATo }
      MP3 72.20% 66.89% 5.30% { AhQc }

      what do you think of this range?[/quote]
  • 9 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey,

      You are beat on the Turn -> fold

      His range is Flushes (khi, Jhi, maybe any other) & some sets/straights
      In any case you have 2 pair and you beat nothing so bet/calling is a very bad play

      - Gerv
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      on this spot, bet/fold would be prefered?
      If I check, I couldn't get value from some marginal hand.

      and if called, should I shove even no heart?
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by Gonchan
      on this spot, bet/fold would be prefered?
      If I check, I couldn't get value from some marginal hand.

      and if called, should I shove even no heart?

      Interesting thought. If we bet/fold, we assume that he will be check/calling hands that you beat

      I think it is too thin to bet the Turn here because we can call a bluff on the river since we block the nutflush .
      I would check back and valuebet the River or call the River when he bets

      - Gerv
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      hmm, I thought high WTSD showed he called with AJ or something because my PER was a bit low so FD is almost always out of mind.

      What do you think his calling range?
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      He would check/call the Flop with most hands. Only AT/77/A7 {maybe} would check/raise the Flop

      You do not have a significant sample size on his WTSD ;)
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      エクイティ 勝ち 引分
      MP2 36.36% 35.19% 1.17% { QQ, AJs, KJs, QTs, KhTh, AJo, KJo, QTo, AsKh, AcKh }
      MP3 63.64% 62.48% 1.17% { AhQc }

      this range still wrong?
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by Gonchan
      エクイティ 勝ち 引分
      MP2 36.36% 35.19% 1.17% { QQ, AJs, KJs, QTs, KhTh, AJo, KJo, QTo, AsKh, AcKh }
      MP3 63.64% 62.48% 1.17% { AhQc }

      this range still wrong?
      Tell me for each hand you put in there why you think he will check/raise

      Where are the flushes?
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      QQ still redraw
      KhTh obvious nuts
      AK,AJ still value, but it may be called not raised
      KJ still ahead ag my range
      QTo two pair and in my range, complete flash is rare
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by Gonchan
      QQ still redraw
      KhTh obvious nuts
      AK,AJ still value, but it may be called not raised
      KJ still ahead ag my range
      QTo two pair and in my range, complete flash is rare
      I disagree with the two pairs because the flush is out there so they are less likely to check/raise. As I said before you are more drawing dead versus sets or better hands than you are up against worse 2pairs

      - Gerv