[NL2-NL10] NL2 QJs Overcards + FD

    • DarkBlade282
      Joined: 07.03.2011 Posts: 290
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)

      Known players:
      CO (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is CO with J, Q.
      MP1 calls $0.02, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.10, 2 folds, BB calls $0.08, MP1 folds.

      Flop: ($0.23) 7, 8, 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.16, BB raises to $0.35, Hero raises to $1.90, BB calls $0.55(All-In).

      Turn: ($3.03) K (2 players)

      River: ($3.03) 8 (2 players)

      Final Pot: $3.03.
      Results follow:

      Hero shows a pair of eights(J Q).
      BB shows two pairs, tens and eights(T T).

      Hero wins with a pair of eights(J Q).
      BB wins with two pairs, tens and eights(T T).

      He will most likely be going broke with 22, 77+.

      Board: 7:diamond: 8:diamond: 2:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    39.15%  39.15%   0.00% { QdJd }
      MP3    60.85%  60.85%   0.00% { 77+, 22 }

      I need 38.34% equity for the shove to be profitable if he's always going to call. Because he might be sometimes bluffing, and I could still have some (small) fold equity, I actually have a little more than 39.15% equity. This means that I should shove here. Is my thinking correct?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DarkBlade282,

      As long the guy doesn't even have a full stack and we could say that we may even have overcards as outs then shouldn't be that wrong even to go broke here.

      Best Regards.