[NL2-NL10] NL5: AK ATJ board

    • Kony76
      Kony76
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.10.2010 Posts: 4,337
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players

      Hero (BB): $5.25 (105 bb)
      UTG+2: $2.74 (54.8 bb)
      MP1: $2.26 (45.2 bb)
      MP2: $5 (100 bb)
      MP3: $2.29 (45.8 bb)
      CO: $16.93 (338.6 bb)
      BTN: $3.55 (71 bb)
      SB: $2.90 (58 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:heart: K:diamond:
      UTG+2 raises to $0.15, 6 folds, Hero raises to $0.45, UTG+2 calls $0.30

      Flop: ($0.92) J:spade: A:club: T:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.58, UTG+2 raises to $2.29 and is all-in, Hero ??

      The villian is a very tight player, with 11/8/1.0/71 (VPIP/PFR/AF/Hands)

      I assumed tha he could call my 3bet with JJ+, and AQs+

      In the flop, is agression shows a lot of stregth. He probalby only do this with AA, JJ or AQ.

      Is this corret?
      If yes, the fold is the best option, corret?
  • 4 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      11/8 is tight indeed. Problem with b/f AK that spot is that he would very likely shove AK himself and sometimes AQ or some strange reasons QQ/KK. Since you have put in over 1/3 with his stack I thin you should not fold- especially if there are flushdraw (sometimes he would also show you smt like 9c8c), so although I´m not happy I feel like I´m pot committed and prefer b/c flop.

      Against fullstack player I think b/f would be perfectly fine

      best regards,
    • Kony76
      Kony76
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.10.2010 Posts: 4,337
      Wow,

      I put the range JJ+, AQs and AK in the equilab, and I was very surprised with the results.

      I have something around 51.5% of equity!!!!

      For the BE call, it was enough 31% of equity. Well...it should be a call.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      don´t think your overall equity is around 50%, generally more likely 35-45%, but because of pot odds it should be rather call than fold.
    • Kony76
      Kony76
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.10.2010 Posts: 4,337
      How do you get the 35-40%?

      The pot ods are 2,48, is that correct?