[NL20-NL50] AQo river velue bet or not ? nl 25 sh

    • dzikson999
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BTN: $30.44
      SB: $53.34
      BB: $34.65
      Hero (UTG): $27.54
      CO: $25.35

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has Q:heart: A:diamond:

      Hero raises to $1.00, fold, fold, SB calls $0.90, fold

      Flop: ($2.25, 2 players) K:diamond: J:spade: T:heart:
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.61, SB calls $1.61

      Turn: ($5.47, 2 players) 8:diamond:
      SB checks, Hero bets $5.00, SB calls $5.00

      River: ($15.47, 2 players) K:club:
      SB checks, Hero checks

      Villain plays strange style 20/8 3 bet 3 % agr f 1.5 wtsd 38 % 170 hnds
      I guess i could bet half pot and fold to a shove on river . But i didnt see much combos that would call me on river mybe KQ, Q 9 ( if he even flats that ?!) but on the other hand He could easely have KJ, K 10 ,10 10
      Is this mistake and i am missing value or check behind is ok ?
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      Imo it is easy valuebet- only hand that likely beat yours is KT- better hands would very likely c/r flop or lead turn or c/r turn. I would bet 12$ and likely have to call shove- he would call me down all Kx hands and sometimes may herocall smt like AJ and since I get too good pot odds I think I can´t fold any more to shove- there may be always chance he would shove with AK or turn JT/QQ into bluff

      best regards,
    • dzikson999
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      HI , Kaitz glad to have u back with us :)
      Well i agree with u but i was litlle woried couse i amost pot beted turn and he snaped ,and he have tightish stats so i was puthing him on wrong range ( my asuption was if he is on QJ Q10 type off hand he would never call KJ K10 well sutites his flating range and oly hand that would call me is KQ , couse i think he doesnt have Ak ) thx for advise.