[NL20-NL50] NL25SHZ - AJo

    • axelphoney
      Joined: 03.10.2009 Posts: 2,397
      [converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $13.05 (52.2 bb)
      Hero (SB): $25 (100 bb)
      BB: $19 (76 bb)
      UTG: $19.60 (78.4 bb)
      MP: $10.55 (42.2 bb)
      CO: $49.55 (198.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with J:spade: A:club:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.75, BTN calls $0.75, Hero raises to $3, BB folds, CO calls $2.25, BTN calls $2.25

      Flop: ($9.25) A:spade: 7:heart: K:diamond: (3 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, CO calls $4.50, BTN raises to $10.05 and is all-in, Hero raises to $22 and is all-in, CO calls $17.50

      Turn: ($63.30) 9:club: (3 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($63.30) 2:spade: (3 players, 2 are all-in)

      CO: 48/27 3bet: 3.8 (700 hands)
      Fold to 3bet: 18%
      Call 3bet: 82%
      4bet: 0%

      Btn: 26/17 3bet: 7.8 (550 hands)
      fold to 3bet: 0%
      Call: 100% (7)
      AF: 3.9
      Raise flop cbet: 31%

      Alright, given their inabillity to fold against 3bets my AJo is obviously a value bet.

      I C-bet (given the dry board, I don't see any reason to make it bigger as we will be all-in by river, on the other hand if I were to make it 5.5 I'd be able to ship it turn easily instead) So perhaps 5.5 would've been better?

      When btn ships, I know it's a profitable call, he's aggressive with a very wide range that I am without a doubt ahead of.

      Same thing applies with CO, but rather than just call, and let him have a free card I think it's probably best to get it in as I don't think he'll fold any ace (knowing he has a lot aces in his range - most likely all aces)

      so this should no doubt be a +EV, some people might say it looks thin but I don't think it is thin at all.

      Usually I probably wouldn't even have this hand analyzed as it feel so clearly +EV and I think I couldn't have played it much better (that's for you to decide)

      but lately my confidence has been low due to losing a lot so I figured it'd be best to have a few hands checked, including this one.
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