[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH call shove Fl vs fish

    • BogdanDr
      Joined: 03.12.2009 Posts: 188
      On Game No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - On Game Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      SB ($10.29)
      BB ($10.75)
      UTG ($11.45)
      Hero (MP) ($10)
      Button ($10.27)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with A, A
      1 fold, Hero bets $0.30, Button calls $0.30, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.75) 10, J, 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.55, Button raises $9.97 (All-In),
      Hero calls $9.15 (All-In)

      Turn: ($20.15) 4 (2 players, 2 all-in)

      River: ($20.15) 9 (2 players, 2 all-in)

      Total pot: $20.15

      villain VPIP/PFR/F2CB/WTSD/Hands

      The board is draw havy and in my opinion he could be haveing a pair + draw a draw or even a top pair with a good kicker and no draw.
      What would you do when he shove-raises the CB?
  • 2 replies
    • DragotoiuRobert
      Joined: 19.07.2009 Posts: 201
      Taking into account that he folds to Cbet 73% i expect him to be pretty fit or fold. So when he raise all-in the flop i think without any read i will fold. I don't say you are necessary beat on the flop but when you are ahead i think you are only a slight favorite and when you are behind (when he has a straight or sets or even a open ended straight flush draw) your equity will be very bad. You invested only 0.85$ and you need to call another 9$ just to hope for a coin flip. At this stakes i don't think taking such a risk is necessary since you'll probably face allot of better spots to put your money in.
      I've made an equilab analysis vs his value raising range containing also combo draws and the result is:

      Board: TdJs7s
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 35.83% 35.37% 0.45% { AdAs }
      MP3 64.17% 63.72% 0.45% { JJ-TT, 77, KQs, JTs, 98s, KsJs, KsTs, Ts9s, Ts8s, Ts7s, 8s6s, KQo, JTo, T7o, 98o }
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello BogdanDr,

      I'd just fold it, we haven't invested much into the pot and whilst your equity overall is going to be rather crappy vs the range which he shoves. At the best a combodraw. Though I doubt that the guy would raise them this way.

      Best Regards.