[NL2-NL10] NL5: CBET analisys 8

    • Kony76
      Kony76
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.10.2010 Posts: 4,346
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players

      MP1: $3.90 (78 bb)
      MP2: $5 (100 bb)
      MP3: $2 (40 bb)
      Hero (CO): $6.98 (139.6 bb)
      BTN: $3.54 (70.8 bb)
      SB: $10.26 (205.2 bb)
      BB: $3.03 (60.6 bb)
      UTG+2: $8.13 (162.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 5 5
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, BTN folds, SB calls $0.13, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.45) 8 6 A (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.28, SB folds, BB calls $0.28

      Turn: ($1.01) K (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($1.01) 6 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      The villian is a fish. I only have about 30 hands, but the stars are 82/29/4.6.
      Only 25% fold to cbet.

      I decided to Cbet, but as he called and the tur hand was a K, there a a lot of hands he can have better than mine, so I decided to quit the hand, and go check/fold until the showdown.

      Was this a good spot to Cbet?
      Should I 2nd barrel the turn?
  • 3 replies
    • Friedric
      Friedric
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.01.2012 Posts: 275
      I wouldn't cbet this board, the reason is simple, we are against 2 opponents and I don't think that our fold equity is high here. Against one I would cbet it, but in 3way pot I'm just check/folding.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      since it is very dry board I like your c-bet. BB would not fold better hands, but SB would easily c/f all the worst hands besides Ax and since 55 is ahead against close to 100% I think c-bet is profitable that spot.

      board: A86
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      55 50.22% 297,852 6,983
      90% 49.78% 295,165 6,983

      Once you get called I would likely just check it down- if you barrel he may fold there 8x or 6x hands, but at the same time he may c/c once again and then you don´t really if you should barrel river or not. So it is always better not to bluff fish out and mostly only bet for value

      best regards,
    • Kony76
      Kony76
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.10.2010 Posts: 4,346
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      Hi,

      since it is very dry board I like your c-bet. BB would not fold better hands, but SB would easily c/f all the worst hands besides Ax and since 55 is ahead against close to 100% I think c-bet is profitable that spot.
      Why do you say that BB will not fold better hands and SB will fold worst hands besides Ax?
      Is there any difference between them?