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[NL20-NL50] FR 50 QQ botom set

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG+2: $59.67 (119.3 bb)
      MP1: $50 (100 bb)
      MP2: $53.69 (107.4 bb)
      MP3: $16.75 (33.5 bb)
      CO: $57.21 (114.4 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (SB): $49.50 (99 bb)
      BB: $19.89 (39.8 bb)
      UTG+1: $69.48 (139 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q Q
      UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to $2, 5 folds, Hero calls $1.75, BB folds

      Flop: ($4.50) K Q A (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG+2 bets $3.50, Hero raises to $9, UTG+2 raises to $57.67 and is all-in

      Hero ?

      Villain is a reg, plays kinda strange but he's above breakeven.
      15/11 over max sample of 5k, but he's always been playing like that. Folds to flop raise 60%. AF=5.5 so he likes to make some moves post flop. I can't see a move here though.

      I don't think it's a good play to 3bet him pre, even if i'm OOP, he folds everything I'm ahead of.

      I know this guy's game pretty well, and he limps medium pairs EP, but will open AJo for example even UTG, always making it 4x. He won't have JT here, my only worries are KK and AA. I could call and re-evaluate but I loose huge value against AK and he may also have AT-AJ and I simply give him a free card, so I think raising the flop is better. Now when he shoves can I ever fold it? He may still have AK thinking I'm raising AQ...
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello circoflax,

      Nah, seems to be fine and of course I am not folding here, can't really put him on only nutted hands without even having any other stats than just those what you wrote which ain't telling how he reacts overall for showdowns.

      Best Regards.