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[NL20-NL50] Nl50Shz - 55

    • axelphoney
      Joined: 03.10.2009 Posts: 2,397
      [converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $99.49 (199 bb)
      SB: $68.79 (137.6 bb)
      BB: $194.70 (389.4 bb)
      UTG: $28.78 (57.6 bb)
      MP: $68.01 (136 bb)
      CO: $42.98 (86 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5:spade: 5:heart:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB calls $0.75, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($3) 2:spade: A:club: 6:club: (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($3) 5:diamond: (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2.86, SB calls $2.86, BB folds

      River: ($8.72) J:diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $8, Hero raises to $20, SB raises to $64.93, Hero calls $44.93

      Villain: 52/23 3bet: 8.4 ( 4.5k hands )
      WTSD: 30%
      W$SD% = 43%
      AF. 1.5

      I check behind, don't think I'll get enough folds ever for it to be a profitable c-bet. on the turn I pot it. Gets called by the fish.

      Then on the river he donks, I am thinking maybe he has some slow-played ace. I raise it (should've made it bigger?) but then I had the plan to fold should he shove.

      However, when he did, I reconsidered (should stick to my plan?) and figured he's such a huge donk and his W$SD% is very low, so I called hoping he had slow played some: A2, A6, A5, AJ, 22 or whatever.

      Not sure if I played it right or not.
  • 3 replies
    • kosmonaut111
      Joined: 26.01.2009 Posts: 715
      I would play it the same way, probably would raise river to something like 27 or even shove (I do not expect him to shove vs our raise with very wide range, but probably will call with anything he wants to regardless of our raise size).
      If he shoves we cant fold in this spot - only one straight on board, no flushes and he probably 3bets AA and JJ pretty often preflop.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello axelphoney,

      I wouldn't exclude from his range JJ there cause you guys are also deeper and he might be a bit more scared cause you will be playing IP vs him. Depends a lot on the opponent and his play-style.

      Raising the river is pretty standard I'd say but though I'd be planning to Raise/Fold it, overall I'd say we very often can exclude here A2/A5/A6 cause he is betting them on the turn, so very capped range which we have beat -> only AJ but vs the whole range I'd assume, we don't get good equity:

      Board: 2:spade: A:club: 6:club:  5:diamond:  J:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    64.71%  64.71%   0.00% { JJ, 66, 22, AJs, 43s, AJo, 43o }
      UTG+1  35.29%  35.29%   0.00% { 5h5s }

      which means I'd be rather willing to Raise/Fold it instead calling it off.

      Best Regards.
    • axelphoney
      Joined: 03.10.2009 Posts: 2,397
      well according to pot odds: 2.08:1 (32%) I have to call based on the range you just put up there.

      So with that in mind, how do you play the river, make a tiny raise so that you wont be commited? or just, ship it, or played as I did where you have to call because given the odds we're commited against his range?