[NL2-NL10] NL10: 77 flop call vs reg

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1883470
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $14.11 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 1,7, BTNSteal: 41, cBetFlop: 75(20), cBetTurn: 50(4), Hands: 562
      Hero (SB): $12.96 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 64253
      BB: $9.31 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 3, 3B: 0, AF: 2,1, Hands: 137
      UTG: $10.00 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 6, AF: 1,3, Hands: 375
      CO: $3.10 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 10, 3B: 4, AF: 4,5, Hands: 205

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with 7 :heart: 7 :club:
      2 folds, BTN raises to $0.25, Hero calls $0.20, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.60) 3 :diamond: T :diamond: T :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.29, Hero calls $0.29

      Turn: ($1.18) K :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.58, Hero folds

      Villain steals from BTN with a very wide range. My 77 on this flop is doing pretty well against that range (~60% equity), however, villain also seems to like 2nd barreling often so when I call this flop I pretty much will have to face a 2nd barrel often and that's where I am not too sure I know what to do. I still feel calling this flop is best.

      What to do on the turn, however? After playing around with equilator I came to the conclusion that since villain actually is capable of checking behind some made hands on this turn as well (JJ–QQ, 99, some of the weaker Kx combos) I actually still am doing pretty well vs his double barreling range (again ~60% equity) because I sort of almost always expect him to keep betting with his whole range except the hands I just mentioned that he checks for pot control/bluff induce. That said, does it not make sense to actually check/call the turn as well?

      And most likely just check/fold the river unimproved as I would not expect him to always tripple barrel as a bluff since this is still NL10.
  • 5 replies
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Hi Avatars 91,

      Vs this specific opponent I agree with the line of x/c twice and x/f river.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      Well, you can't just base on Turn CB % here either he is capable of 3rd barreling those spots or not. It's quite obvious that your calling range more often is going to be weak so he could easily 3barrel there. Which means which those guys who barrel a lot on the river we ain't really planning to fold on the river if we calling the turn.

      Though I'd plan more often to continue on the turn, especially vs his sizing and then reevaluate the river.

      Best Regards.
    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      So with this sizing and even vs such opponents about whose 3barreling tendencies we don't know much we can still call the turn and reevaluate the river?
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      I would personally not expect villain to 3bet often on TTxK board at this stake.

      Veriz do you think otherwise?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Avatars91
      So with this sizing and even vs such opponents about whose 3barreling tendencies we don't know much we can still call the turn and reevaluate the river?
      Why not? Just cause he plays nitty doesn't mean that he is postflop-nit also. There are enough of players who play nitty preflop but very aggressively postflop. Depends just on the opponent and how we see him. One of the best spots for him to 3barrel here.