[NL2-NL10] NL10: 88 vs shortstack push

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1883547
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP: $1.92 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 42, 3B: 17, AF: 0,5, Hands: 12
      CO: $10.45 - VPIP: 4, PFR: 4, 3B: 9, AF: 0,0, Hands: 23
      BTN: $13.98 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 11, 3B: 17, AF: 0,0, Hands: 18
      SB: $7.19 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 0,3, Hands: 20
      BB: $10.70 - VPIP: 35, PFR: 35, 3B: 33, AF: 0,0, Hands: 23
      Hero (UTG): $10.25 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 64253

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with 8 :club: 8 :heart:
      Hero raises to $0.30, MP raises to $1.92, 4 folds, Hero calls $1.62

      Flop: ($3.99) 6 :diamond: 5 :club: 9 :club: (2 players)

      Turn: ($3.99) 7 :diamond: (2 players)

      River: ($3.99) K :diamond: (2 players)

      So we need somewhere around ~40% equity here to call and after playing around with equilab I came to the conclusion that this is most likely a rather close spot unless I have a reason to believe that villain is pushing lighter than with a range of 99+,AJs+,KJs+,AQo+,KQo, since we have to pay rake as well. Therefore I think I can actually fold this preflop without reads.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      Did you have any assumptions to think that he is shipping any2 there or shoving loose or being tilted? :) If rather not then just fold it and wait for decent spot to reevaluate it. Though I'd say if you assume that he shoves loose then of course calling is still possible.

      Best Regards.