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[NL2-NL10] double barrel bluff NL10 MSS

    • Castle93
      Castle93
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2011 Posts: 1,458
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1884108
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $16.55 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 28, 3B: 14, AF: 3.0, Hands: 60
      BB: $10.91 - VPIP: 4, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 24
      Hero (UTG): $3.10 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 4.2, Hands: 10795
      MP: $3.82 - VPIP: 71, PFR: 42, 3B: 17, AF: 1.3, Hands: 24
      CO: $10.45 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 17, 3B: 9, AF: 3.0, Hands: 24
      BTN: $3.55 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 15

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with 9 :heart: A :heart:
      Hero raises to $0.40, MP calls $0.40, 4 folds

      Flop: ($0.95) K :club: 2 :club: J :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.64, MP calls $0.64

      Turn: ($2.23) 2 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.06, MP folds


      Hey gerv, what do you think on this hand? when he calls the flop he could have a draw, Kx or even Jx, i think he raises most of his sets/ 2pair hands for value as my percieved range from UTG is pretty strong. my logic behind shoving the turn when the board pairs is any worse K than KJ is now splitting the pot at best so having to call $2.06 to win like $3 so hes not getting great odds to call.
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey,

      Well for starters I do not think a 71/x player is going to fold his Kx. maybe the really crappy ones.

      But since he is so loose I also expect him to peel with Jx, QT, Flushdraws & some Gutshot+overcard hands.

      Then you still have 3 outs (=equity) so you can still get EV from that, I think putting pressure on him is an OK move if his WTSD indicates (<25%) that he can lay hands down. Now since you do not have this information, i still think shoving is a fine play

      Best regards,
      Gerv