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[NL2-NL10] NL10: K8s bad river call?

    • Avatars91
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1888876
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $6.87 - VPIP: 40, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 1,3, AFq: 22, Hands: 25
      UTG: $10.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 13, AF: 9,0, Hands: 83
      MP: $7.08 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 7,0, Hands: 26
      CO: $29.63 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 15, 3B: 8, AF: 3,6, Hands: 172
      Hero (BTN): $11.57 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 67888
      SB: $12.87 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 16, 3B: 10, AF: 3,1, Hands: 1341

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with 8 :diamond: K :diamond:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, 1 fold, BB calls $0.15

      Flop: ($0.55) 9 :club: J :club: 6 :club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($0.55) 6 :heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($0.55) K :heart: (2 players)
      BB bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40

      I am actually considering folding on the river. As much as it is probably not impossible for villain to bluff in that spot from time to time, I don't think that bluffs make up for the biggest part of his range here. And from the way the hand got played it looks like he's valuebetting a passively played 6x (not sure he is likely to check 6x on such a dangerous board texture though), a king that he spiked on the river, or a straight with QT instead of Jx, as he would probably either have bet Jx at least on the turn, or he would have checked it on this particular river as well, if he indeed checked it twice before. And since so many Kx hands dominate us, we don't really have that much beat there. Could call for information though + hope he has something worse randomly (I mean, it's still not impossible for him to bluff, either though I would expect him to do so on the turn already, if he indeed is ever bluff happy).
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      Yeah, kinda marginal spot. Especially if the guy wanted to bluff then why didn't he do it earlier whilst he also could have gained fold equity. But though I wouldn't say it's like a huge mistake or anything if you even ending up calling there but I wouldn't assume that often to be ahead.

      Best Regards.