[NL2-NL10] NL10: AQ OOP no cBet

    • Avatars91
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1888950
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $8.90 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 38, 3B: 33, AF: 1,0, Hands: 8
      MP: $9.09 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 10, 3B: 7, AF: 3,7, Hands: 446
      CO: $7.79 - VPIP: 32, PFR: 24, 3B: 0, AF: 5,5, Hands: 34
      BTN: $9.68 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 4, 3B: 20, AF: 0,7, FoldTocBetFlop: 0(2), Hands: 23
      SB: $10.41 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 22, 3B: 0, AF: 1,8, Hands: 112
      Hero (BB): $10.51 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 67888

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with Q :club: A :diamond:
      3 folds, BTN calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.50, BTN calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.05) K :club: 6 :heart: 9 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($1.05) K :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: ($1.05) 6 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      The board hits villain's range very well and that bothers me a bit. Villain also has thus far shown a minor tendency of not folding to cBets. However, we are not doing all that bad on this flop vs his limpcalling range:

      Board: K:club: 6:heart: 9:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    45.44%  43.73%   1.71% { AdQc }
      MP3    54.56%  52.85%   1.71% { TT-22, AQs-A2s, K6s+, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o, 87o }

      Taking all these factors in consideration, I think a check here is in order on the flop even despite our equity because we are OOP and are getting called very often on this board texture by this villain + we can very well get bluffed out of our equity on the turn or the river once we check after getting called on the flop.
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      Yep, I'd also leave it alone especially when the guy is passive + doesn't fold much to CB. Nice hand!

      Best Regards.
    • CPallo
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,343
      2 barrels could work and give you a nice pot... I'd do that, and probably beat him.
    • Avatars91
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Personally I wouldn't recommend that. There are so many turn cards on which you can't really keep barreling as they improve villain's range + the guy seems very loose and thus is not probably folding all that much even on turns.
      I mean, what are you trying to make him fold? He is likely calling you twice with at least 9x and, depending on the turn card, maybe with even worse + his range so often has hit at the very least a GS, which he is not folding (he might on the turn, but do you really want to guess?).
      Whereas seeing that he is somewhat passive, you can check on the flop and hope to get free cards or even a free showdown where you beat his GS or whatever air type of hand from time to time.