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[NL2-NL10] NL10: JT no cBet

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1889041
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP: $3.04 - VPIP: 32, PFR: 14, 3B: 10, AF: 1,8, Hands: 44
      CO: $10.00 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 21, 3B: 3, AF: 3,4, Hands: 473
      Hero (BTN): $16.43 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 67888
      SB: $13.70 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 0,0, Hands: 55
      BB: $19.65 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 5, 3B: 3, AF: 2,1, FoldTocBetFlop: 45(11), FoldTocBetTurn: 67(3), WTS: 22, W$SD: 73, Hands: 187
      UTG: $8.75 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 9, 3B: 4, AF: 0,0, Hands: 136

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with J :heart: T :spade:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, 1 fold, BB calls $0.15

      Flop: ($0.55) 5 :spade: 6 :club: 2 :club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($0.55) T :diamond: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.43, BB folds

      So against villain's range our equity is more or less as follows:


      Board: 5:spade: 6:club: 2:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    26.86%  25.25%   1.61% { JhTs }
      MP3    73.14%  71.53%   1.61% { QQ-22, A2s+, K6s+, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, A2o+, K8o+, Q8o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o, 87o }


      So, not at all that great. Given also the fact that villain sort of does not mind calling flop cBets, I decided to check behind flop, which ought to be just fine at worst. However, given his fold to 2nd barrel stat, is there any possibility I could ever cBet the flop with the intention of 2nd barreling appropriate turn cards since villain seems also to be taking only strong hands to the showdown (given his W$SD stat / too small sample size though)?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      As long we don't even have backdoors should be fine to take passive approach whilst vs such a guy you have to plan very often 2nd barrel if you are barreling. Though Checking should be safer in those spots.

      Best Regards.