[NL20-NL50] 3 way all-in flopped nut FD

    • 13BlackCats
      13BlackCats
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.08.2008 Posts: 356
      PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      SB: $9.75
      BB: $25.00
      UTG: $27.71
      MP: $12.48
      Hero (CO): $27.48
      BTN: $25.00

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has A:spade: 6:spade:

      UTG calls $0.25, MP calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.50, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $1.25, MP calls $1.25

      Flop: ($4.85, 3 players) 8:diamond: T:spade: J:spade:
      UTG checks, MP checks, Hero bets $3.24,

      UTG raises to $6.75, MP raises to $10.98 and is all-in

      Turn: ($30.05, 2 players) 7:spade:

      River: ($30.05, 2 players) 3:club:


      no stats nor read.
      after checkraising and with the pot being so big, UTG is not very likely to fold his hand when I shove.

      pot is almost $26, when I shove the last $20 and V calls then I give myself 1:3.3 odds (around 23%). Is this right?


      Board: 8:diamond: J:spade: T:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    23.59%  23.37%   0.22% { As6s }
      MP3    40.53%  40.31%   0.22% { Qs9d }
      CO     35.88%  35.66%   0.22% { 8s8c }




      Board: 8:diamond: J:spade: T:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    28.53%  27.87%   0.66% { As6s }
      MP3    66.11%  65.45%   0.66% { JJ }
      CO      5.35%   4.69%   0.66% { 88 }




      Board: 8:diamond: J:spade: T:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    21.11%  20.45%   0.66% { As6s }
      MP3     1.66%   1.00%   0.66% { 5s4s }
      CO     77.22%  76.56%   0.66% { 88 }




      Board: 8:diamond: J:spade: T:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    33.47%  33.35%   0.13% { As6s }
      MP3    33.26%  30.91%   2.35% { JJ-88, KQs, K8s, Q9s, JTs, 97s, Ks9s, KQo }
      CO     33.26%  30.91%   2.35% { JJ-88, KQs, K8s, Q9s, JTs, 97s, Ks9s, KQo }
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello 13BlackCats,

      More towards the equity needed is going to be 35%, can't really see how you getting 23%. :P Are you assuming that UTG goes also broke and include the money? Even though then even if you wouldn't do then the equity drops for us, with his money in the pot we get that much.

      So from the pointed out ranges you gave there none of them actually even gets the equity, so which actually means that we can't go broke here profitable enough unless we assume the UTG is raising rather loose. Though of course we can't give those opponents none of the ranges you gave there, doesn't really make sense to give the opponents only 1hand range.

      Best Regards.