[NL2-NL10] NL10: T8o BBvsSB fold

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1889867
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $10.05 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 18, 3B: 4, AF: 11,0, AFq: 65, cBetFlop: 100(6), cBetTurn: 25(4), Hands: 83
      Hero (BB): $10.32 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 68372
      UTG: $9.65 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 8, AF: 4,3, Hands: 213
      MP: $10.48 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 21, 3B: 12, AF: 0,0, Hands: 39
      CO: $9.72 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 16, 3B: 9, AF: 1,8, Hands: 489
      BTN: $8.80 - VPIP: 10, PFR: 6, 3B: 6, AF: 0,0, Hands: 52

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with 8 :club: T :heart:
      4 folds, SB raises to $0.30, 1 fold

      Can this be playable? I guess that no, not really. Unless I know more about the opponent or unless I am up against a certain kind of an opponent that gives up easily postflop or smthn.

      We sort of get the necessary equity vs villain's potential range:


             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    34.00%  33.37%   0.64% { T8o }
      MP3    66.00%  65.36%   0.64% { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, ATo+, KJo+, QJo, JTo }


      + We are IP. We can also exploit his low 2nd barrel tendency by floating him on the flop often (although not too sure we'll be able to do it all that often with our weak hand, especially given that our hand is heavily dominated).

      However:

      *) villain's range often dominates us and we can't call all that much postflop with our weak pairs vs his range (although he seems not to 2nd barrel all that much, and maybe thus his 2nd barreling range can always be perceived as strong anyway, and thus we can easily fold to his 2nd barrels)
      *) we often don't hit anything worthwhile on the flop and can't even play back

      So this is rather a fold, right?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      if you want to play tight then fold would be better. I would call and 3-bet very wide range against SB opens, since it is very hard him to play oop. If you call hand like T8 then you need to bluff sometimes and also float spots where you have no equity. For example if he has air and flop comes A36 then he would often c-bets once and then c/f your turn bet. Also imo it is reasonable bluffraise at 47Js board or raise for value T57 board.

      best regards,