[NL20-NL50] AJ floped set

    • malcolmlinco
      malcolmlinco
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.08.2010 Posts: 239
      Everest - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      SB: $13.23
      BB: $6.42
      UTG: $5.75
      UTG+1: $27.10
      UTG+2: $40.10
      Hero (MP): $26.40
      MP+1: $16.10
      CO: $25.50
      BTN: $29.20

      SB posts SB $0.15, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.40) Hero has A:heart: J:club:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.80, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.55

      Flop: ($2.40, 3 players) J:heart: J:spade: 9:heart:
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $1.30, SB calls $1.30, fold

      Turn: ($5.00, 2 players) 9:spade:
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($5.00, 2 players) 5:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.00, SB calls $2.00


      check on turn is standard?
      river could be bigger?
  • 5 replies
    • iambanker
      iambanker
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.06.2011 Posts: 5,519
      Hi,

      u lost lot of value on flop, bet it bigger, 1.75-2$. I assume that SB is not reg because his stack size and we have nuts, so I would probably bet, bet, ship. I think on that turn he just never fold 9x and he wont probably bluff bet river often. For sure that sometimes we just split with Jx, but it cost us a small amount of rake vs value from 9x.
    • malcolmlinco
      malcolmlinco
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.08.2010 Posts: 239
      if i bet turn then there are very few hands he can continue with. i think that he would fold all overpairs and AK. He could continue only with fd.
    • iambanker
      iambanker
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.06.2011 Posts: 5,519
      I dont think he has in range overpairs and AK, cause we can assume that he would 3bet it pf. Also I dont expect to get a value from FD on double paired board (mby expect straight flush draws).
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 6,858
      yeah, you definitely want to bet the flop bigger and bet the turn.

      you don't even have to make it very big, if you think he is folding "all the time" just make it some ridiculous sizing like $1.3 again which at least is better than betting $0 and may even induce some spaz.
      if he's fishy he won't be folding a draw and def not when his draw hits the river despite the double paired board.

      what you DON'T want to do is to check. you have pretty much the nuts and he probably won't be turning too many hands into a bluff, just hope that he has some stubborn draw/some overcards/maybe TT or something
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello malcolmlinco,

      Bet the flop bigger, Bet the turn and Bet the river. :) If he doesn't have a hand he wont pay you much anyways.

      Best Regards.