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[NL2-NL10] NL10: ATs bad turn check + bad river bet sizing?

    • Avatars91
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1893201
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $10.81 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 18, 3B: 4, AF: 11,0, Hands: 83
      Hero (UTG): $10.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 68937
      MP: $11.63 - VPIP: 41, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 2,1, AFq: 40, FoldTocBetFlop: 25(8), FoldTocBetTurn: 100(1), WTS: 32, W$SD: 44, Hands: 78
      CO: $13.29 - VPIP: 61, PFR: 8, 3B: 13, AF: 1,4, Hands: 74
      BTN: $6.12 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 16, 3B: 9, AF: 1,8, Hands: 489
      SB: $10.12 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 4,0, Hands: 75

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with T :club: A :club:
      Hero raises to $0.40, MP calls $0.40, 4 folds

      Flop: ($0.95) 5 :club: 4 :diamond: T :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.60, MP calls $0.60

      Turn: ($2.15) A :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP checks

      River: ($2.15) 5 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.80, MP calls $1.80

      So I expect villain to float me on the flop with a rather wide range (I should have bet ~$0.70 on the flop because he's calling that amount just as often, I think). Since his range is possibly so wide on the flop, I thought at the time of play that it makes sense to check and maybe let him bluff with his air type of hands because I sort of thought that the ace increases my fold equity + if we checks behind I can bet big on a lot of rivers (like I did in this case) and maybe get some hero calls with worse hands because it would look like a bluff bet out of desperation, however, I think that vs this very loose guy I should have just played simple poker as you have stated many times before – just bet, bet, bet. Especially since there are still many Ax hands in his range that he floats with on the flop + Tx is likely not folding anyway + even if he floats with broadways on the flop, he might not be willing to give up his GSs on the turn either.
  • 3 replies