This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL2-NL10] NL10: K2s potential BU open vs SB loose guy?

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1893564
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $16.22 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 7, AF: 0,5, Hands: 48
      MP: $3.85 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 14, 3B: 11, AF: 2,8, Hands: 525
      CO: $13.80 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 74
      Hero (BTN): $10.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 68937
      SB: $19.80 - VPIP: 48, PFR: 2, 3B: 0, AF: 3,9, AFq: 39, DonkbetFlop: 44(9), RaiseCbetTurn: 67(3), FoldTocBetFlop: 43(7), FoldTocBetTurn: 0(3), WTS: 14, W$SD: 33, Hands: 93
      BB: $10.00 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, FoldBBtoSteal: 80(5), Hands: 75

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with 2 :club: K :club:
      5 folds

      I did not open the hand because we still have a rather small sample to state that BB is extremely tight and folds to steals very very often (although he does seem like that) + SB seems to be loose postflop + sometimes he can also show some aggression, however, can this still not be an open?


             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    43.23%  42.04%   1.18% { K2s }
      MP3    56.77%  55.59%   1.18% { JJ-22, A2s+, K6s+, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, A2o+, K8o+, Q8o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o, 87o }


      We are not doing all that bad vs his potential calling range (of course, add some hands, take some away) + we have position + we have a skill advantage. We can get 2 streets of value from our K top pair vs all his midpairs + draws, true, sometimes we're dominated, but we are folding to a lot of action anyway + are not vBetting our 1 pair on the river most likely; we also can make him fold on some dry flops; we can get paid off big with our nut flush if we hit it + sometimes villain may play his draws passively and we can check after getting called on the flop and maybe even win a showdown with K high.

      Though villain seems to have a donkbet range, I am very keen on discovering what kind of hands he is donking with because that will probably tell me something about his check/calling range as well so I don't mind him not always checking to me as I can often raise vs his donkbet with some backdoors and at the very worst see what he is donking with @ showdown.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      Well you have still position so why not to raise it and play vs the loose guy. :) We should still have implied odds and once again putting him on a range ain't really clever cause you don't really know what kind of range he can show up in those spots.

      Best Regards.