[NL2-NL10] NL10: KQo BU vs MP preflop cold call

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1893619
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $10.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 68937
      SB: $10.77 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 24, 3B: 5, AF: 3,7, Hands: 70
      BB: $10.00 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 2, AF: 3,0, Hands: 184
      UTG: $10.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 45
      MP: $10.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 16, 3B: 0, AF: 4,0, Hands: 38
      CO: $4.01 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 22, 3B: 0, AF: 2,0, Hands: 9

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with Q :heart: K :diamond:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.40, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.40, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.95) 3 :club: 2 :spade: 3 :heart: (2 players)
      MP bets $0.65, Hero folds

      If I assume that villain is raising at least this wide:


      Board: A:club: Q:club: 2:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    53.11%  50.38%   2.73% { KQo }
      MP3    46.89%  44.16%   2.73% { 22+, A9s+, KJs+, QJs, ATo+, KQo }


      It is a pretty basic/standard/ridiculously logical call preflop, right? Although I do have the feeling that in order to make it +EV I still have to play back on some flops as otherwise I see myself too often folding vs a cBet without a hit.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      Well, you will have rather little equity edge if at all cause we don't really know how much the guy actually raises, maybe is rather nittier side. So therefore flatting like that ain't really good idea especially if you are weak postflop in cold called pots.

      Best Regards.