[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH set vs fish on DHB

    • BogdanDr
      BogdanDr
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.12.2009 Posts: 188
      On Game No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - On Game Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      Hero (BB) ($10)
      UTG ($9.60)
      MP ($30.60)
      Button ($2.20)
      SB ($9.90)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 8, 8
      1 fold, MP calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero bets $0.40, MP calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.05) 8, 10, 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.80, MP calls $0.80

      Turn: ($2.65) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2, MP calls $2

      River: ($6.65) J (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $7, Hero ?
      Villain VPIP/PFR/af/F2CB/WTSD/hands
      55/0/0.6/29/55/23

      The board came pretty bad and I think that up untill the Ri it is somewhat standard to play bet bet (the bet on the Tu should probably be pot or more close to it against this opp).

      On the Ri there are still some missed draws that now have to pair (JT,J9, J8), flush draws with a pair, or random J that were drawing to a straigth. A 7 had already completed and if he was going to move all-in he would have probably done it on the Tu and the same with 2 pairs. Sets are also unlikely to have played this way and to stack off on a board like this even from a big fish like him. The flush is very posible to be played like this, but that is not a huge part of his range.

      With all this his bet sizeing looks very strong and this alone should make me consider folding here. What would you do?
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