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[NL20-NL50] FR50 JTo 3bet SB

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP3: $50.63 (101.3 bb)
      CO: $50.62 (101.2 bb)
      BTN: $83.32 (166.6 bb)
      Hero (SB): $51.50 (103 bb)
      BB: $76.34 (152.7 bb)
      UTG+2: $50.50 (101 bb)
      MP1: $49.25 (98.5 bb)
      MP2: $63.14 (126.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with J T
      5 folds, BTN raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5, BB folds, BTN calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.50) 8 4 K (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.25, BTN calls $5.25

      Turn: ($21) A (2 players)
      Hero bets $12, BTN raises to $73.07 and is all-in, Hero folds

      Villain kinda nitty 11/9/ 3bet=4.3 / AF=3.3 / fold flop 43 / fold turn 60 / WTSD=19.

      BTN steal = 43, fold to 3bet 70+ so I'm 3betting him with pretty much anything not playable but that can hit something on the flop.
      Not very good flop for cbet, and I didn't expect to take it down most of the time with one bet, but I can represent AK very easily here and it's hard for him to have AK, I'd expect him to 4bet that pre against an agg player like me.

      I see the turn A as the perfect card to continue against this guy. He's folding all pairs and most of his K. He can't have Kx diamonds so he's gonna have a tough decision with just a FD.

      Should I worry a lot in these cases about the Ax diamonds scenario?

      One more thing: If I really had AK in this spot, can I ever find a fold here? I think his range is sets and ....that's pretty much it.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello circoflax,

      What's his W$SD & 4bet that it makes to think that he is 4betting AK here for value? You can never be sure on that. Also vs his fold to flop CB I might be towards just leaving the pot alone, our main profit from this guy comes when we winning the money preflop.

      Though if we do CB then I'd also of course 2nd barrel A and the same ace, we at least now have more extra equity and maybe even fold equity. We ain't getting away with AK most likely unless we are holding the A which then makes rather gapped range what we have beat and I'd base again on W$SD not WTSD. Hands sample would be also useful here.

      Best Regards.