Herofolding vs weird line

    • getdotacom
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 607
      $2/$4 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      HERO (UTG) ($1,194.64) 299bb
      UTG+1 ($483.94) 121bb
      CO ($776.86) 194bb
      BTN ($426.14) 107bb
      SB ($1,301.57) 325bb
      BB ($200) 50bb

      Pre-Flop: ($6, 6 players) HERO is UTG K:spade: K:diamond:
      HERO raises to $10.60, 1 fold, CO calls $10.60, 2 folds, BB calls $6.60

      Flop: 7:spade: 8:spade: Q:diamond: ($33.80, 3 players)
      BB checks, HERO bets $24.21, CO calls $24.21, BB folds

      Turn: 2:diamond: ($82.22, 2 players)
      HERO bets $71.47, CO raises to $142.94, HERO calls $71.47

      River: 7:diamond: ($368.10, 2 players)
      HERO checks, CO goes all-in $599.11, HERO folds

      Villain stats : 21/17/8.1 3.5AF, 29WTSD, Raise FCbet 7, Raise TCBet 50 (3/6) 1.1k hands. Don't remember any other hands with him, but I think he's not very good, at least I've marked him that way :) Other guy in the pot is 40bb reg.

      On the turn his minraise doesn't make any sense for me and I thought it could be a missclick as well. Don't see anything else we can do besides calling here.

      The river : I insta check and he insta jams :D It looks like a bluff for me, but I talked myself into folding somehow. Basically because I thought he's not very good and not bluffing that much. I think he can't have a flush here, he wouldn't just insta jam it when the board pairs, so it's FH or nothing.
  • 2 replies
    • pleno1
      Joined: 19.11.2010 Posts: 5,596
      oh my gosh, how weird. he can have all the flopped sets in his range, i think vs his turn cbet raise stats, even with a small sample we should just call/call. He never has diamonds, although is repping only full houses, I guess he would make it bigger ott to jam river with a set as it makes stacks awkward now.

      I guess he will flat the flop cbet often so the shorter stack can jam flop with all gutters/fds/qx.

      OTR it just makes little sense and I prob hate life/call.
    • imfromsweden007
      Joined: 11.10.2008 Posts: 726
      I really feel like he's raising flop close to 100% of the time with sets/2pairs. So what does that leave us on the turn? Thin raises with AQ? Semibluff with 89 or other random draw?

      On the river the diamond draw gets there, and he probably (?) doesn't shove anything for "thin value" here, so that leaves him bluffing with other missed draws + valuehands. V tough spot, wouldn't be surprised if folding is correct given how tight he is.