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[NL2-NL10] NL10 FR ATs

    • JohnDoe1313
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,196
      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $10 (100 bb)
      BTN: $20.40 (204 bb)
      Hero (SB): $3.90 (39 bb)
      UTG+2: $16.52 (165.2 bb)
      CO: $8.64 (86.4 bb)
      MP1: $1.65 (16.5 bb)
      MP2: $10.24 (102.4 bb)
      UTG+1: $0.73 (7.3 bb)
      MP3: $4.65 (46.5 bb)

      Limp/fold: 59

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A T
      3 folds, MP2 calls $0.10, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.45, BB folds, MP2 calls $0.35

      Flop: ($1) 4 Q 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.71, MP2 calls $0.71

      Turn: ($2.42) K (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.74, MP2 folds

      $2.42 pot ($0.12 rake)
      Final Board: 4 Q 4 K
      Hero mucked A T and won $2.30 ($1.14 net)
      MP2 mucked and lost (-$1.16 net)

      Hi. I was thinking about different turn play. This guy doesn't like to fold cbets and probably didn't hit this board at all. He limps hands like K4, Q4 but I think he folds them to isoraise. K :heart: gave me additional equity + my ace could be still and out. MP2 bets vs missed cbets a lot, so maybe I could go for check/shove? Considering my stacksize it would be a check/minraise but counting 15 outs I don't need that much FEQ, right? Thanks
  • 1 reply
    • ctstc
      Joined: 09.11.2009 Posts: 6,280
      With your FE (27%) you need en Equity of 24,6% on the Turn when Villain calls. With your 12-15 Outs you should have enough Equity (so around 30% ) so you can push here.