[NL2-NL10] JJ overpair on connect board

    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $10.44 (41.8 bb)
      SB: $9.82 (39.3 bb)
      BB: $11.45 (45.8 bb)
      UTG+1: $12.60 (50.4 bb)
      UTG+2: $19.98 (79.9 bb)
      Hero (MP1): $12.75 (51 bb)
      MP2: $25.35 (101.4 bb)
      MP3: $53.60 (214.4 bb)
      CO: $28.12 (112.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with J J
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, MP2 calls $0.75, 5 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 7 2 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.06, MP2 calls $1.06

      Turn: ($3.97) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.50, MP2 calls $2.50

      River: ($8.97) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $8.44 and is all-in, MP2 calls $8.44

      Results:
      $25.85 pot ($1.16 rake)
      Final Board: 7 2 6 5 9
      Hero showed J J and lost (-$12.75 net)
      MP2 showed 8 8 and won $24.69 ($11.94 net)


      13/0/8

      Flop turn bet would fine even some connection.

      On river, my assumption is here


      ボード: 6:diamond: 7:heart: 2:club:  5:spade:  9:diamond:
              エクイティ      勝ち      引分
      MP2    71.43%  71.43%   0.00% { TT-88, A8s, 76s }
      MP3    28.57%  28.57%   0.00% { JJ }


      call hand

      So it was disastrous shove on river I think.. my assumption is right?
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      check/fold river. he has many 2 pairs, sets and straights. he rarely bets a worst hand on the River like TT (even if he does you don't beat enough to justify a call)
    • ctstc
      ctstc
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.11.2009 Posts: 6,280
      Originally posted by mbml
      check/fold river. he has many 2 pairs, sets and straights. he rarely bets a worst hand on the River like TT (even if he does you don't beat enough to justify a call)
      i also think thats the best line here.