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[NL2-NL10] NL10 FR KQs

    • JohnDoe1313
      JohnDoe1313
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,195
      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (MP1): $5.28 (52.8 bb)
      CO: $3.50 (35 bb)
      MP3: $11.46 (114.6 bb)
      BTN: $9.18 (91.8 bb)
      BB: $12.69 (126.9 bb)
      MP2: $11.85 (118.5 bb)
      SB: $10.20 (102 bb)

      BB


      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q K
      Hero raises to $0.30, 5 folds, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65) 8 9 9 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40

      Turn: ($1.45) 3 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($1.45) 4 (2 players)
      BB bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Results:
      $2.45 pot ($0.12 rake)
      Final Board: 8 9 9 3 4
      Hero mucked Q K and lost (-$1.20 net)
      BB showed T A and won $2.33 ($1.13 net)

      This player doesn't fold to cbets a lot, so I think he check/calls broadways and Ax unimproved. He also bets a lot vs missed cbets, so can I bluffcatch here? I think he doesn't have all Ax in his range as I feel like he rather plays them when noone has the initiative.

      Board: 8:diamond: 9:heart: 9:spade:  3:heart:  4:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    71.40%  69.62%   1.79% { QQ-22, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, A7o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, T9o, 98o }
      MP3    28.60%  26.81%   1.79% { KcQc }

      Thx
  • 3 replies
    • BrunoPradoBR
      BrunoPradoBR
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2009 Posts: 109
      IMO you didn't have enough fold equity to do a CBet on the flop against the Villain.

      You had:
      vs PFR
      Fold to Cbet = 30%

      You need at least 36%

      I would play check/fold flop, turn and river.
    • JohnDoe1313
      JohnDoe1313
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,195
      Thanks for your analysis. I agree that there is not much FEQ on the flop, but even this fish can exploit me if I check everytime I don't hit (which will be pretty often considering I hit this a with unpaired hand 33% of time). That's why I rather bet flop and possibly turn (less fold equity on flop = more fold equity on turn because there is still trash in his range) and/or see the river hoping I hit.
    • ctstc
      ctstc
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.11.2009 Posts: 6,280
      Originally posted by BrunoPradoBR
      I would play check/fold flop, turn and river.
      I would play it in the same way against this Villain. Especially on the River you have to fold to the bet.