# [NL20-NL50] AA 3 bet faceing flop shove

• Bronze
Joined: 17.08.2010
PokerStars - \$0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

UTG: \$34.20
CO: \$25.45
BTN: \$34.07
Hero (SB): \$25.00
BB: \$42.42

Hero posts SB \$0.10, BB posts BB \$0.25

Pre Flop: (\$0.35) Hero has A A

UTG calls \$0.25, fold, BTN raises to \$0.75, Hero raises to \$2.75, fold, fold, BTN calls \$2.00

Flop: (\$6.00, 2 players) 9 6 T
Hero bets \$3.43, BTN raises to \$31.32 and is all-in, Hero calls \$18.82 and is all-in

Turn: (\$50.50, 2 players) K

River: (\$50.50, 2 players) 6

Villain plays 24/12, fold to 3 bet 92%,ag f- 2.4 on flop ag f -3,Wtsd 32 % w&sd 58 %, 250 hands
http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 9d6hTc
Equity Win Tie
BU 38.70% 38.16% 0.54% { QQ-99 }
SB 61.30% 60.76% 0.54% { AhAc }
I give him following range so i guess i have to call ?!
• 3 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 29.01.2005
Hey dzikson99,

I would call as well because of this.

250hands are not that much of a sample size. That is why I would not see the stats as a true fact. But I think we should assume villian folds much to 3bets 70-80%.

If villian opens 35% on the buttom and folds 80% minus his expected 4bet range AK,AA,KK villian should still have a 7-8%range. So maybe we can add QJs in is range from time to time maybe with 3-4 combinations.

We loose against 99,66,TT = 3x3 =9combinations
We win against JJ,QQ, and sometimes maybe even KK = 12-18 combinations

The question is does villian play JJ,QQ overshove flop? KK for sure. Against unkown I would call the flop because we beat many overpairs and thats why I think we have the 36,6% equity we need to call the flop.
• Black
Joined: 27.11.2008
AA in 3bet pot 100BB = never folding on 98% of board runouts.

If the board is very good for villain's range, i will consider taking passive lines instead to keep his range wide.

For example when I bet this board against someone who usually 4bets JJ+ preflop and calls many mid pairs, against his Flop raising range we aren't doing too well since we will be facing T9s/sets really often. Sometimes 77/88 perhaps but who knows?

By checking we induce bluffs from stuff like AQ/AJs/KQs/AK. We also don't have to be good so often when bluff catching (need to win only ~30-35% of the time) as opposed to betting (need a worse hand to call 50%+ of the time).

With that said, this is probably a bet/shove for me at lower limits. I see people flat QQ/JJ here so often and then just raise their overpairs on the Flop. Seeing 77/88 here is quite standard for this limit as well. So yes, I think bet/call is the best plan here. Nice hand.
• Black
Joined: 20.07.2008
Hello dzikson999,

Nah, it's difficult to get away whilst the guy is also not the best playing 24/12 which tells us that he has a lot of worse hands in his range and can easily overplay JJ/QQ. Nice hand!

Best Regards.