[NL2-NL10] NL10 AJs

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      Opponent stats 24/7 AF:1,16 WTSD:21 W$SD:47 fold to f cbet:59 fold to turn cbet:44 after 472 hands.

      How much to bet on the turn? And are we calling if he shoves?

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $3.60
      BB:
      $10.00
      UTG1:
      $10.37
      UTG2:
      $12.25
      MP1:
      $38.87
      MP2:
      $3.15
      MP3 (Hero):
      $10.15
      CO:
      $10.00
      BU:
      $14.49


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J, A.
      2 folds, MP1 calls $0.10, MP2 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, CO folds, BU calls $0.50, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.40.

      Flop: ($1.65) K, 2, 6 (3 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $1.20, BU calls $1.20, MP1 folds.

      Turn: ($4.05) T (2 players)
      Hero ???
  • 3 replies
    • DrDunne
      DrDunne
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.12.2010 Posts: 3,338
      I wouldn't be surprised if he always has a made hand after calling this flop since he's not going to showdown too much and he is playing pretty tight, if not extremely passive. Maybe he has some small PP which he is floating with.. but I really doubt you can call if he shoves. that said, a 2nd barrel is good because of his low WTSD. you have fold equity, and you have the outs to make your semi bluff. given how passive he is, if he wakes up, i dont think getting it in ever is good because you are almost always behind against 2pair/set - in which case he crushes us.

      on the turn i'd bet between $2.60, maybe $3.
    • bmfbpi
      bmfbpi
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.09.2008 Posts: 590
      bet turn, you just picked up more equity with your gutshot+fd
      re-eval river
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello TheWinnerTakesItAll,

      Betting the turn with the extra equity and picking the sizing yourself than Check/Call whilst you most likely wont be able to call whilst you don't have implied odds. Rather 2nd barrel and I'd plan to Bet/Fold it, we can't go broke there vs the strong range he is raising.

      Best Regards.