[NL2-NL10] MSS - 99o - NL2

    • BrunoPradoBR
      BrunoPradoBR
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2009 Posts: 109
      PokerStars - $0.02 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      Hero (LP): $0.80 VP$IP: 8.51% | PFR: 8.32% | AFq: 53.22% | 3Bet: 6.25% | Hands: 2151
      CO: $2.35 VP$IP: 50% | PFR: 0% | AFq: 30% | 3Bet: 0% | Hands: 20
      BTN: $1.07
      SB: $2.59
      BB: $4.96 VP$IP: 30% | PFR: 0% | AFq: 0% | 3Bet: 0% | Hands: 10
      UTG: $0.76
      UTG+1: $5.00
      MP: $1.54
      MP+1: $1.53

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has 9:spade: 9:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.08, CO calls $0.08, fold, fold, BB calls $0.06

      Flop: ($0.25, 3 players) 8:club: 3:spade: 8:spade:
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.18, CO calls $0.18, BB raises to $0.40, Hero raises to $0.72 and is all-in, CO calls $0.54, BB calls $0.32

      Turn: ($2.41, 3 players) Q:club:
      BB bets $0.98, CO calls $0.98

      River: ($4.37, 3 players) A:club:
      BB bets $0.60, CO calls $0.57 and is all-in

      BB shows 7:heart: 8:heart: (Three of a Kind, Eights) (Pre 17%, Flop 67%, Turn 79%)
      CO shows 7:spade: 2:spade: (One Pair, Eights) (Pre 11%, Flop 21%, Turn 17%)
      Hero shows 9:spade: 9:club: (Two Pair, Nines and Eights) (Pre 73%, Flop 12%, Turn 5%)
      BB wins $5.32

      ---------------------------------------------------------

      Hello everyone,

      I'm not sure if All-In was the right movement here, but I had an OverPair against two players.

      What do you think about it?
  • 3 replies
    • JohnDoe1313
      JohnDoe1313
      Platinum
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,116
      Hey,

      yes, you have an overpair here but let's see what your opponents can play like this. BB checks/raises your cbet & coldcall so his range could be TT-JJ, 8x, flushdraws (probably with overcards to your 9, so more equity for him). CO's range could look similar but wider, many draws and pairs, slowplayed 8x, 33.

      Your pot odds are 0.54/2.41 if we assume CO is never folding, which is equal to 22% equity needed.

      Board: 8:spade: 3:spade: 8:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP3    12.60%  12.55%   0.05% { 9s9c }
      CO     22.82%  21.79%   1.03% { JJ-22, 98s, 87s, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, QsJs, AsTs, KsTs, QsTs, JsTs, As9s, Ks9s, Qs9s, Js9s, Ts9s, As8s, Ts8s, As7s, 9s7s, As6s, 7s6s, As5s, 6s5s, As4s, 5s4s, As3s, As2s, 98o, 87o }
      BB     64.58%  63.60%   0.98% { JJ-TT, 88, 33, A8s, T8s, 98s, 87s, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, QsJs, AsTs, As9s, Ts9s, A8o, 98o, 87o }

      I would fold 99 here.
    • ctstc
      ctstc
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.11.2009 Posts: 6,280
      Originally posted by JohnDoe1313
      Hey,

      yes, you have an overpair here but let's see what your opponents can play like this. BB checks/raises your cbet & coldcall so his range could be TT-JJ, 8x, flushdraws (probably with overcards to your 9, so more equity for him). CO's range could look similar but wider, many draws and pairs, slowplayed 8x, 33.

      Your pot odds are 0.54/2.41 if we assume CO is never folding, which is equal to 22% equity needed.

      Board: 8:spade: 3:spade: 8:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP3    12.60%  12.55%   0.05% { 9s9c }
      CO     22.82%  21.79%   1.03% { JJ-22, 98s, 87s, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, QsJs, AsTs, KsTs, QsTs, JsTs, As9s, Ks9s, Qs9s, Js9s, Ts9s, As8s, Ts8s, As7s, 9s7s, As6s, 7s6s, As5s, 6s5s, As4s, 5s4s, As3s, As2s, 98o, 87o }
      BB     64.58%  63.60%   0.98% { JJ-TT, 88, 33, A8s, T8s, 98s, 87s, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, QsJs, AsTs, As9s, Ts9s, A8o, 98o, 87o }

      I would fold 99 here.
      Nice analysis. I would do the same here
    • BrunoPradoBR
      BrunoPradoBR
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2009 Posts: 109
      Thank you very much!