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[NL2-NL10] NL10: KK topset river fold

    • Avatars91
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players - View hand 1905523
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $10.00 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,5, Hands: 2
      CO: $4.10 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 13, AF: 0,0, Hands: 63
      Hero (BTN): $13.79 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 76463
      SB: $12.23 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 19, 3B: 4, AF: 1,8, Hands: 59

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with K :spade: K :heart:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.25, 1 fold, BB calls $0.15

      Flop: ($0.55) J :spade: 9 :heart: 2 :heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.44, BB calls $0.44

      Turn: ($1.43) K :club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.08, BB calls $1.08

      River: ($3.59) 4 :heart: (2 players)
      BB bets $3.00, Hero folds

      1) Turn: should have bet more – at least ~$1.25?
      2) Standard fold vs an unknown because his range is very Flush heavy (he may have raised with a smaller set earlier and almost nothing else can bluff like that here really)?
  • 2 replies
    • Deomedes
      Joined: 12.11.2011 Posts: 156
      1) I think you bet the right amount, if he can call even more with FD then that is a read not a standard situation vs unknown guy.
      Do not forget also, that he has 7 real outs and that there are 2 "outs" he has that give you his stack, so bet sizing is perfect.

      2) It is little dissapointing but guys can bluff the Flush card on the river ,even on microstakes, by donking this big. I have been showed quite a few.
      Ofcourse, folding is the right play firstly cause you got no reads.
      Secondly, because the frequency a random guy can do it is below 15% imo ( below 10% with this sizing i would add) and you need given the pot odds around 30% to make the call breakeven.
      And thirdly, because check-raising is too sweat for micro-donks. I would add to this that even if he checked to you should probably had to bet-fold a small amount because there is some value vs a random microstakes guy, not a reg ofcourse.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      very likely I would not fold to 50/0 player my top set, since he may always try to bluff you out or have there two pair/lower set that he is betting for value.
      I would bet around 1.2$ on the turn, so 1.08$ is also fine

      best regards,