[NL2-NL10] Does blocking bet on the river makes any sense here?

    • Deomedes
      Deomedes
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.11.2011 Posts: 135
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      Hero (BB): $13.66
      UTG: $10.80
      CO: $9.69
      BTN: $10.16
      SB: $16.78

      SB posts SB $0.05, Hero posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has K:spade: K:club:

      UTG raises to $0.30, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.00, UTG calls $0.70

      Flop: ($2.05, 2 players) 9:diamond: T:club: Q:heart:
      Hero bets $1.60, UTG calls $1.60

      Turn: ($5.25, 2 players) T:heart:
      Hero bets $2.80, UTG calls $2.80

      River: ($10.85, 2 players) A:club:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $4.00, fold

      UTG wins $10.31


      On only 36 hands UTG had VPIP/PFR/AFq 17/ 11/ 67.

      Standard 3bet preflop vs UTG raise that is likely very tight. That might also be the bottom of my value 3bet range vs a tight UTG.

      Flop is well connected and high so there is value to be extract, so i bet lilttle more than 3/4 of the pot.

      On the turn i see not much if any Tx hands on his likely flatting 3bet range so i bet half (maybe i had to bet litle more) to encourage some QJs, JTs, AhJh hands to call as well as JJ, KQs, AQ .

      On the river does it make any sense to bet-fold? I mean if i bet 3$-4$ effective stack is so small that i have to call if he shoves, so it will be better to bet 5,40$ for a negative freeroll but still is there any value in betting?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      very few hands would get to the river that would call bet and since there are less than potsize left I don´t think you can really make for example 1$ valuebet - most likely he would either going to shove or fold. I would rather c/f that river card and since he would likely not turn his made hands (JJ or KQ) into bluffs you should see showdown if you´re ahead

      best regards,