[NL2-NL10] NL10 KQo vs BU

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      Opponent stats 15/14 AF:2,2 steal:33 fold to 3bet:79 WTSD:25 W$SD:83 after 795 hands.

      Pre flop standart 3bet bluff.

      I think check/fold here is the best option, because I don't think he folds any pocket pair on this board and he can easilly have A. I could second barrel, but I don't have his fold to cbet stat in 3bet pot.

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP2:
      $10.15
      MP3:
      $15.79
      CO:
      $10.79
      BU:
      $16.93
      SB:
      $2.69
      BB (Hero):
      $10.00
      UTG2:
      $10.00
      MP1:
      $10.32


      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, K.
      5 folds, BU raises to $0.30, SB folds, Hero raises to $1.00, BU calls $0.70.

      Flop: ($2.05) A, 6, A (2 players)
      Hero ???
  • 3 replies
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Hi TheWinnerTakesItAll,

      I basically expect a tight range from BU from what you've said. steal 33 + f3bet 79 means that he is having most likely smth like AK,AQs,AJs QQ-JJ in his range. AA/KK are not excluded.

      I don't see SC's or small pockets in his range so I dont think we have profitable cbet here even though Ax combos are heavily reduced.

      BTW I saw his W$SD is 83. For me this means that he is going to fold AJ/AQ to 3 barrels. Do you think this is true ? :coolface:

      Best regards.
    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      It's small sample, but I think that he could fold AJ.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello TheWinnerTakesItAll,

      Check/Fold should be pretty standard option here whilst you will rarely have much fold equity here. :)

      Best Regards.