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[NL2-NL10] Facing Three donks by a Donk

    • Deomedes
      Joined: 12.11.2011 Posts: 156
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      SB: $10.00
      BB: $7.10
      UTG: $11.18
      CO: $12.91
      Hero (BTN): $24.97

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has A:spade: 2:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65, 2 players) 5:club: 3:club: 4:heart:
      BB bets $0.30, Hero raises to $1.20, BB calls $0.90

      Turn: ($3.05, 2 players) 4:spade:
      BB bets $0.30, Hero raises to $2.30, BB calls $2.00

      River: ($7.65, 2 players) 7:diamond:
      BB bets $2.80, Hero???

      Herocalls $2.80BB shows 4:diamond: 3:diamond: (Full House, Fours full of Threes) (Pre 46%, Flop 19%, Turn 100%)Hero mucks A:spade: 2:heart: (Straight, Five High) (Pre 54%, Flop 81%, Turn 0%)BB wins $12.59

      Opponent is a real fish so that is why i raise the turn. My question is this:

      considering A) his consistency to donk again the river (and that time not small)
      B) on that especially river card since 65 is on his donk-calling range
      C) with the board being already paired
      D)vs a loose-passive opponent
      can i make a profitable call and be good on the river 21% of the time?
      Or as i see it now is rather otimistic?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      I think you can never fold on the river, since he may always have there missed flushdraw isntead of 6x and you should be ahead at least 25% that makes it pot committed call on the river.

      best regards,