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[NL2-NL10] AQo Full-house NL5FR ZOOM

    • DucksEatFish
      Joined: 03.12.2010 Posts: 318
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $5 (100 bb)
      SB: $1.68 (33.6 bb)
      BB: $5 (100 bb)
      UTG+1: $6.47 (129.4 bb)
      UTG+2: $6.91 (138.2 bb)
      MP1: $5.98 (119.6 bb)
      MP2: $3.81 (76.2 bb)
      MP3: $2.66 (53.2 bb)
      Hero (CO): $7.50 (150 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A Q
      2 folds, MP1 raises to $0.20, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.20, 2 folds, BB calls $0.15

      Flop: ($0.62) K Q Q (3 players)
      BB checks, MP1 bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, BB folds

      Turn: ($1.22) 5 (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.70, MP1 raises to $1.40, Hero calls $0.70

      River: ($4.02) 5 (2 players)
      MP1 bets $4.08 and is all-in, Hero ??

      Villain is quite tight 9/6 (vpip/pfr).
      Preflop: I could've 3bet / folded preflop to get initiative since I'm IP, but since he's so tight and only has 23% fold to 3bet I decided to call.

      Flop:I decided to call on the flop as I didn't want to fold out worse hands.

      Turn:With his check-raise I'm thinking he's got AA, AK, AQ, KQ or KK. He might also have a KJsI don't see him having AJ or JJ or worse often.

      River, KK and KQ has me beat, I can't imagine he has 55 here. Should I make the call?

      I'm not very good with equilab, but if I put him on KK+, AQs+, KQs, AKo by the river I get:

      MP1 21.88% 18.75% 3.13% KK+, AQs+, KQs, AKo
      CO 78.13% 75.00% 3.13% AhQs
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DucksEatFish,

      You can easily exclude AK/AA from there cause he most likely wont play them this way and rarely doubt to see anything worse than FH here. So I'd be more willing to fold on the turn cause you could be already against KQ there which is FH and of course KK.

      Best Regards.