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[NL2-NL10] NL10: KK overpair bet sizing

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1921481
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $25.66 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 15, 3B: 2, AF: 3,0, Hands: 150
      BTN: $7.01 - VPIP: 32, PFR: 19, 3B: 4, AF: 2,0, Hands: 78
      SB: $4.00 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 28, 3B: 9, AF: 4,3, Hands: 158
      BB: $3.20 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,9, Hands: 323
      Hero (UTG): $10.15 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 83809
      MP: $10.88 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 28, 3B: 6, AF: 2,7, Hands: 87

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with K :spade: K :heart:
      Hero raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.30, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.05) 3 :club: 3 :diamond: T :club: (3 players)
      Hero bets $0.70, MP folds, BTN calls $0.70

      Turn: ($2.45) 8 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.67, BTN calls $1.67

      River: ($5.79) 6 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $7.48, BTN folds

      I think I should have bet 2.00$ on the turn and then shipped the river. I would even have shipped an FD completing river as there is still value from Tx, 8x and all sort of PPs.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      I would have bet likely 1.9$-2.1$ on the turn to then put him all-in on the river.
      I agree that shoving any river (likely besides Tx) is profitable play. If he likes to float and bet his draws, that AF 5 might indicate then I also think c/rai is very profitable play and you don´t have to playing on the river.

      best regards,