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[NL2-NL10] NL10: 87s overlimp vs a tight passive guy

    • Avatars91
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1921488
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $11.04 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 10, 3B: 4, AF: 3,0, Hands: 145
      BB: $4.00 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 29, 3B: 14, AF: 2,0, Hands: 31
      UTG: $10.15 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 17, 3B: 2, AF: 3,3, Hands: 141
      MP: $9.72 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,9, Hands: 323
      Hero (CO): $20.60 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 5, AF: 4,7, Hands: 83809
      BTN: $10.14 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 28, 3B: 6, AF: 2,7, Hands: 87

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with 7 :club: 8 :club:
      1 fold, MP calls $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, 2 folds, BB raises to $0.50, 2 folds

      Villain is a strange passive guy that I have even seen overlimping QQ preflop. He is extremely passive postflop as well (played an overpair pretty passively and betting very small /calling vs a raise) and pretty easy to play against even when he has hands with a lot of equity. Don't know anything about his looseness/tightness postflop.
      There are some loose players behind me though.

      For that reason also I'm not sure what play is best. Could have even folded
      since the openlimper's range is somewhat strong and I wouldn't want to isolate myself vs a strong range with just 8 high (although I expect myself to have quite some implied odds) + overlimping is not really great because we often have to face a raise anyway (though I would expect the openlimper to call often as well, thus giving me good odds).
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      for that I have shown he would likely limp MP a lot more than 13%, so I would prefer isolate pre-flop (as BB did)- he sometimes has there QQ-AA, but more often some pp-s or Axs hands or broadway hands and since you´re ip you can always decide if you want to c-bet or check behind

      Likely BB is isolating top 10% (or a littlebit wider). Against that 87s is not doing great:
      Hold'em Simulation ?
      215,750,304 trials (Exhaustive)
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      8c7c 33.63% 71,909,491 1,304,156
      10% 66.37% 142,536,657 1,304,156
      , but nevertheless I would prefer calling pre-flop, since equity wise if flop comes low you´re very likely ahead and can also shove if you flop straight or flushdraws

      board: 843
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      8c7c 58.80% 3,458,730 11,679
      10% 41.20% 2,422,071 11,679

      board: T83
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      8c7c 55.42% 3,127,209 13,917
      10% 44.58% 2,513,754 13,917