[NL2-NL10] bu 77, 865...

    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $5.17 - VPIP: 58, PFR: 33, 3B: 0, AF: 3,3, Hands: 12
      Hero (BTN): $2.00 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 2,3, Hands: 23963
      SB: $1.51 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 15
      BB: $2.00 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 7, AF: 2,2, Hands: 117
      UTG: $2.22 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 20, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 15
      MP: $0.66 - VPIP: 40, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 0,5, Hands: 15

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with 7 :diamond: 7 :spade:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.04, Hero calls $0.04, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.11) 6 :spade: 5 :heart: 8 :club: (2 players)
      CO bets $0.04, Hero raises to $0.16, CO raises to $0.34, Hero raises to $1.96

      I have 10 outs, so I'm using folding equity to make it +EV. He just has to fold a small percent to make it +ev.
  • 4 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Imimba1,

      How can this be +EV to go broke. :) I'd really like to see the math behind it.

      Best Regards.
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Maybe I overestimate the folding equity. From this loose player, we could assume close to 0 folding equity?
    • CPallo
      CPallo
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,343
      Min-bet+3-bet indicates that he might have already a made hand(you're looking for a split or runner-runner to win) like 88, 55, 66 or 79, so you really don't have much fold equity there. Though he seems quite aggressive, so he might be overplaying his overcards/overpair there, but shove here can't be +EV, coz he's not likely going to fold after that 3-bet.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Imimba1
      Maybe I overestimate the folding equity. From this loose player, we could assume close to 0 folding equity?
      When he picks such a line I just can't see what he is folding there. :P