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[NL20-NL50] NL25 flopped set in 3b pot, facing turn c/r on dry board

    • DimnjacarGogi
      Joined: 11.09.2012 Posts: 32
      $0.10/$0.25 Ante $0.05 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG ($80.17) 321bb
      UTG+1 ($13.50) 54bb
      CO ($62.71) 251bb
      HERO (BTN) ($113.89) 456bb
      SB ($71.35) 285bb
      BB ($40.66) 163bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.65, 6 players) HERO is BTN 7:heart: 7:diamond:
      3 folds, HERO raises to $0.50, SB raises to $1.50, 1 fold, HERO calls $1

      Flop: 7:club: 2:spade: A:diamond: ($3.55, 2 players)
      SB bets $1.70, HERO raises to $5.10, SB calls $3.40

      Turn: 5:heart: ($13.75, 2 players)
      SB checks, HERO bets $7.95, SB raises to $19.60, HERO calls $11.65

      River: 8:diamond: ($52.95, 2 players)
      SB goes all-in $45.10, HERO calls $45.10

      21/16 3b 8, 340 hands
      3b SB 11
      cb 3b pot 6/8, turn 2/2
      AF 4 AFQ 37, river 52

      This hand played before vs same guy (NL25 hit nut flush, get raised).

      BB was super nit so adjusted by minraising every BTN.
      After I call turn I can't fold river, but can I fold turn?
  • 3 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,015
      so sick.

      one question is if he 3bets small pairs from the blinds.
      in any case, when you're like 300bb deep on nl25 it really seems like the only hand in his turn range is AA. now to click that fold button...
    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Preflop sizing is strange, he is 3betting so small oop when you are close to 300bb deep...

      Ch/call flop, and let him barrel? To chRaise flop, bet turn line he'd probably fold Ax on the turn at latest. You are polarized and all, but without very strong dynamics he cant herocall you down this deep I guess. It would be awkward for him even with 22, because what does he beat? Not much.

      As played, after his turn chRaise his range is very narrow, mainly 22/AA, but I agree with Tomaloc, this could be a very sick herofold... :(
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DimnjacarGogi,

      Should take a look also at W$SD which will tell how nitty he is going to showdown and how strong hands. Though vs his line might even be the case rather instead to give up the turn cause his range is way too capped there which we have beat.

      I'd most likely end up making the crying fold there whilst we have just 55 beat, of course his 3bet might look strange but now again do we want to find out for 300bb?

      Best Regards.