[NL20-NL50] top set oop nl 25 river play

    • dzikson999
      dzikson999
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      Everest - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      SB: $14.60
      BB: $20.05
      UTG: $32.35
      Hero (CO): $59.00
      BTN: $39.25

      SB posts SB $0.15, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.40) Hero has J:club: J:diamond:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.90, BTN calls $0.90, fold, fold

      Flop: ($2.20, 2 players) 7:club: 6:heart: J:heart:
      Hero bets $1.75, BTN calls $1.75

      Turn: ($5.70, 2 players) 8:club:
      Hero bets $4.05, BTN calls $4.05

      River: ($13.80, 2 players) 8:diamond:
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Villain is 21 /16 agr f 1.7 ,3 bet 2.5 ,wtsd 39% 300 hnds
      My tohought process was if he had sets or trips he would bet anyway and if he had some kind of draw then its better for me to check and let him bluff himself ... is it ok?! Or is better to bet river (and what size) ?
  • 4 replies
    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      Just bet river for value. He doesnt seem like a big fish, so draws are much less likely for him to have, but he could have PPs, which may herocall you on the river. Plus he is not very aggro either, but likes to call, and go to showdown.
    • dzikson999
      dzikson999
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      Yeah but i realy dont know is he calling 3 barrell with 99 or 10 10 i dont think so , I guess he not holding J x so ither he has some 89 type of hands or strong holding like boats so that way i could ch/ shove river and get more velue ?!
    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      Originally posted by dzikson999
      Yeah but i realy dont know is he calling 3 barrell with 99 or 10 10 i dont think so
      With 39% wtsd after 300 hands?! He could easily have 99/TT in this spot, and could herocall blank river as well.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello dzikson999,

      Both options are considerable if we assume the opponent taking stabs there. He has enough of missed draws which may Bet the river meanwhile not that many hands which pay you.

      He may easily even have something like 89 which definitely going to Bet the river.

      Best Regards.