[NL2-NL10] NL4 SH K9s - value bet shove river?

    • muel294
      muel294
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,225
      Preflop: Don't feel like I can raise for value or have too much FE* postflop vs UTG especially.

      Flop / Turn: Plan was just to b/f for value/prot vs weaker pairs and draws

      River: I thought UTG either has KX, QX which he is probably not willing to fold or a missed draw. Given UTG's stats (particularly AF) I think he rarely x/beh with made hands, therefore I also want to give him the opportunity to bluff his missed draws which he will do some of the time he is checked to. If I bet he never gets this opportunity.

      I decided to 4x his river bet so as not to get too many folds. But in hindsight I think he is either folding to any raise or never folding to any raise so should I just shove it in here and hope he calls with QX or J9?

      PartyGaming - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      CO: $3.08
      BTN: $2.42
      SB: $5.48
      Hero (BB): $4.34
      UTG: $6.38 53/24/3/13/39/46 hands - LAG
      MP: $2.47

      SB posts SB $0.02, Hero posts BB $0.04

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.06) Hero has 9:club: K:club:

      UTG calls $0.04, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero checks

      Flop: ($0.10, 2 players) K:heart: Q:club: Q:heart:
      Hero bets $0.06, UTG calls $0.06

      Turn: ($0.22, 2 players) T:diamond:
      Hero bets $0.14, UTG calls $0.14

      River: ($0.50, 2 players) K:spade:
      Hero checks, UTG bets $0.24, Hero raises to $1.00, UTG calls $0.76

      Hero shows 9:club: K:club: (Full House, Kings full of Queens) (Pre 41%, Flop 12%, Turn 5%)
      UTG shows Q:spade: A:heart: (Full House, Queens full of Kings) (Pre 59%, Flop 88%, Turn 95%)
      Hero wins $2.38
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