[NL20-NL50] 99 turn set on hdb oop vs Tight reg ?!

    • dzikson999
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP: $26.56
      CO: $24.85
      BTN: $25.12
      SB: $25.10
      Hero (BB): $25.70
      UTG: $28.17

      SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has 9:spade: 9:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.75, fold, Hero calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.60, 2 players) 6:diamond: 8:diamond: 4:heart:
      Hero bets $1.14, BTN calls $1.14

      Turn: ($3.88, 2 players) 9:heart:
      Hero checks, BTN bets $2.50, Hero raises to $7.72, BTN calls $5.22

      River: ($19.32, 2 players) 7:heart:
      Hero checks, BTN bets $15.00, Hero calls $15.00

      I dont have big sample only 50 hnds on Villain he plays 16/14 , agf-3.3,
      fold to 3 bet 100%
      After he called my turn ch/r i was sure his range was sets , mybe some diamond fl draw with brodways or AA,KK type off hand so river is ugly card but i dont see many hands in his range that this card improves only 9d10d (dont belive he opens 7d5d or 9d7d) ?! So i let him bluff his busted draws by checking r but i was suprised with his shove bet but i guess i have to call against his range ?! I see it like this hm...
      Board: 8d6d4h9h7h
      Equity Win Tie
      BU 25.00% 25.00% 0.00% { AA, TT, 88-66, 44 }
      BB 75.00% 75.00% 0.00% { 9d9s }
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello dzikson999,

      Why can't he have all those hands? He is playing from the BTN so his range is full of Tx hands or even 5x hands. So river is rather a fold for me.

      Though I would play it also differently on the turn and rather 2nd barrel than force a lot weaker hands out of the pot on the turn.

      Best Regards.