[NL2-NL10] NL4 - AQs

    • pyropove
      pyropove
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.07.2011 Posts: 36
      PKR, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP3: $4.15 (103.8 bb)
      CO: $1.63 (40.8 bb)
      BTN: $4.76 (119 bb)
      SB: $1.27 (31.8 bb)
      BB: $0.74 (18.5 bb)
      UTG+2: $3.26 (81.5 bb)
      MP1: $2.17 (54.3 bb)
      Hero (MP2): $4.44 (111 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A Q
      UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $0.04, Hero raises to $0.20, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.20, BTN calls $0.20, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.16

      Flop: ($0.86) A 6 8 (4 players)
      MP1 bets $0.04, Hero raises to $0.74, CO folds, BTN calls $0.74, MP1 calls $0.70

      Turn: ($3.08) K (3 players)
      MP1 bets $0.04, Hero raises to $1.62, BTN raises to $3.82 and is all-in, MP1 calls $1.19 and is all-in, Hero calls $1.88

      River: ($11.31) 5 (3 players, 2 are all-in)

      Results:
      $11.31 pot ($1.13 rake)
      Final Board: A 6 8 K 5
      BTN showed K A and won $10.18 ($5.74 net)
      MP1 showed 9 A and lost (-$2.17 net)
      Hero showed A Q and lost (-$4.44 net)


      Am I just screwed here? BU shows no aggression until I'm getting 5:1 on calling the turn.
  • 2 replies
    • muel294
      muel294
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,218
      I would play same way until the turn IMO. Its hard to say without knowing the villains very well what to do here. If both villains are massive Stations and do this with AT-AQ then I think you just about have enough equity for the given pot odds. (you need about 16% to break even)

      I would say they have something like the following (which is a fairly optimistic range) on the Turn here:


      Board: A:club: 6:diamond: 8:heart:  K:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP1    30.67%  26.25%   4.42% { 8d8s, 8d8c, 8s8c, 6h6s, 6h6c, 6s6c, AhQh, AsQs, AhJh, AsJs, AhTh, AsTs, Ah9h, As9s, As8s, Ah6h, As6s, AhQs, AhQc, AsQh, AsQc, AhJd, AhJs, AhJc, AsJd, AsJh, AsJc, AhTd, AhTs, AhTc, AsTd, AsTh, AsTc }
      MP2    19.38%  12.39%   6.99% { AdQd }
      CO     49.95%  45.17%   4.78% { AhAs, KdKh, KdKc, KhKc, 8d8s, 8d8c, 8s8c, 6h6s, 6h6c, 6s6c, AhKh, AhQh, AsQs, AhJh, AsJs, AhTh, AsTs, AhKd, AhKc, AsKd, AsKh, AsKc, AhQs, AhQc, AsQh, AsQc, AhJd, AhJs, AhJc, AsJd, AsJh, AsJc, AhTd, AhTs, AhTc, AsTd, AsTh, AsTc }


      If we remove AT-AJ:


      Board: A:club: 6:diamond: 8:heart:  K:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP1    34.62%  32.96%   1.66% { 8d8s, 8d8c, 8s8c, 6h6s, 6h6c, 6s6c, AhQh, AsQs, Ah9h, As9s, As8s, Ah6h, As6s, AhQs, AhQc, AsQh, AsQc }
      MP2     2.74%   0.00%   2.74% { AdQd }
      CO     62.64%  59.91%   2.74% { AhAs, KdKh, KdKc, KhKc, 8d8s, 8d8c, 8s8c, 6h6s, 6h6c, 6s6c, AhKh, AhQh, AsQs, AhKd, AhKc, AsKd, AsKh, AsKc, AhQs, AhQc, AsQh, AsQc }



      I wouldn't like to say what the best line here is because I just don't know. It seems a tough spot so I'd like to see what the hand judges have to say, but I don't think we can bet/call it here,

      Cheers
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello pyropove,

      You are multiway on the turn and it's very likely one of them even having 2pairs+ holding. Therefore rather play way ahead/behind than go for the raise.

      Best Regards.