[NL2-NL10] nl2 AJ

    • prisly87
      prisly87
      Silver
      Joined: 19.05.2009 Posts: 83
      45 hands 55/10

      Easy call right?

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $0.80
      MP1:
      $0.76
      MP2:
      $2.24
      MP3 (Hero):
      $3.89
      CO:
      $1.74
      BU:
      $2.13
      SB:
      $2.08


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J, A.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, CO calls $0.08, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.19) K, 6, A (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.14, CO raises to $1.66(All-In),Hero ?
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello prisly87,

      If you say it's easy Call then what makes you think that? What do you think the guy has which shoves? :P Not I am saying it's wrong but lets see what kind of range do you think he shoves.

      Best Regards.
    • prisly87
      prisly87
      Silver
      Joined: 19.05.2009 Posts: 83
      Ok let' see. :)

      Flop: AcKc6c

      Me: AhJc
      Villain: 66,A6s,K6s,QcJc,JcTc,Tc9c,9c8c,8c7c,7c6c,6c5c,A6o,K6o,AdQc,AsQc,KdQh,KdQs,
      KhQd,KsQd,KcQd,QcJd,QcJh,QcJs,QcTd,QcTh,QcTs,Qc9d,Qc9h,Qc9s,Qc8d,Qc8h,
      Qc8s

      Ev:

      Me: 53,36 %
      Villain: 46.54 %

      If we inculde slowpayed AA,KK, AK

      Me: 49.30%
      Villain:50.70%

      So, in worst case i am flipping.

      Correct? :f_cool:
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by prisly87
      Ok let' see. :)

      Flop: AcKc6c

      Me: AhJc
      Villain: 66,A6s,K6s,QcJc,JcTc,Tc9c,9c8c,8c7c,7c6c,6c5c,A6o,K6o,AdQc,AsQc,KdQh,KdQs,
      KhQd,KsQd,KcQd,QcJd,QcJh,QcJs,QcTd,QcTh,QcTs,Qc9d,Qc9h,Qc9s,Qc8d,Qc8h,
      Qc8s

      Ev:

      Me: 53,36 %
      Villain: 46.54 %

      If we inculde slowpayed AA,KK, AK

      Me: 49.30%
      Villain:50.70%

      So, in worst case i am flipping.

      Correct? :f_cool:
      Well, we could easily edit a bit the ranges and stuff, like for example unless he is super loose you wont see K6 hand or something similar. Also I am not sure even how often the guy is going to shove with just FD in those spots, he would rather play it passively unless it's a pair+FD. Which means maybe KxQ. We need ~45% equity to make it profitable and for example for this range which might be realistic:

      Board: A:club: K:club: 6:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    59.30%  58.31%   0.99% { 66, AKs, A6s, K6s, QcJc, JcTc, Tc9c, 9c8c, 8c7c, 7c6c, 6c5c, AKo, A6o, AdQc, AsQc, KdQc, KhQc, KsQc }
      MP3    40.70%  39.71%   0.99% { AhJc }

      we ain't really getting it. Unless we of course put into the range which you actually set up. So which means actually it doesn't seem to be easy call. Even with your equities as you show it's kinda near break-even.