[NL20-NL50] Bad bluff Aks nl 50 sh ?

    • dzikson999
      dzikson999
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      PokerStars - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      SB: $50.00
      BB: $50.00
      UTG: $68.22
      Hero (MP): $57.79
      CO: $73.44
      BTN: $76.30

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has K:heart: A:heart:

      UTG raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, fold, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($3.75, 2 players) 8:diamond: T:heart: J:diamond:
      UTG bets $2.65, Hero calls $2.65

      Turn: ($9.05, 2 players) 6:heart:
      UTG bets $6.31, Hero raises to $14.50, UTG calls $8.19

      River: ($38.05, 2 players) 5:diamond:
      UTG checks, Hero bets $39.14 and is all-in, UTG calls $39.14

      I dont have big sample but Villain is 19/12 ag f-1 streith forward player
      on my turn raise i expect him to fold AJ ,A 10, AQ type off hands and with my river shove i think i can get him off QQ, 99 and if he had a set he should be shoving turn or am i wrong ? ( dont expect him to have many fl draws from utg) ?
  • 3 replies
    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      Raise flop instead. It's cheaper, we have good equity (overs+GS+backdoorFD), he will be in trouble with all onepair hands, plus it's well balanced, as we'd play the same with all strong hands (JJ/TT/88/JT/Q9/combodraws) on this board.

      If he is a thinking player and tries to handread, he'd know that with your turn raise you dont rep much, mainly draws, cause all monsters would probably have raised a flop such drawheavy as this one.
    • dzikson999
      dzikson999
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      Interesting wiew off hand , but i also some time postpond raise with sets couse if turn is a brick (as it is) i give them much worst equity for drawing and if turn draw copletes i still can pot control and take it on river if board pairs so that way i am cuting down variance but I like to mix it up with all sorts off hands sometimes i raise flop directly sometimes i even waith for river ( I dont know is that best and most profitable approch?!). I have feling that nl 50 player alredy know when to stake off on flop( oposit to nl 10 or 25 players ) but on turn and river is different story.I think mybe i am out leveling myself and they might be still prety streith forward players, will see how my winrate would look like after 100 000 hands.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello dzikson999,

      You are almost always raising sets on the flop, especially on such a drawy flop. If you don't then you making rather a mistake yourself. So I am not really huge fan of your play. Raise the flop and reevaluate the further actions whereby you have maybe even more fold equity.

      Same is for the turn, what kind of hand would raise the turn and then ship the river whilst FD gets there?

      Best Regards.