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[NL20-NL50] nl25sh KJo IP pair-sd on flop

    • EnterG
      EnterG
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 632
      Everest Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1941023
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $8.48 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 15, 3B: 7, AF: 2.9, Hands: 117
      BB: $25.75 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 8, 3B: 2, AF: 1.9, Hands: 602
      UTG: $37.35 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 2, AF: 4.0, Hands: 129
      MP: $10.45 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 2, 3B: 1, AF: 2.2, Hands: 1515
      CO: $14.02 - VPIP: 68, PFR: 34, 3B: 20, AF: 1.6, Hands: 122
      Hero (BTN): $53.75 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 15, 3B: 4, AF: 2.1, Hands: 201264

      Pre Flop: ($0.40) Hero is BTN with K :diamond: J :club:
      2 folds, CO calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.15, SB calls $1, BB calls $0.90, CO calls $0.90

      Flop: ($4.60) T :club: J :diamond: Q :club: (4 players)
      SB bets $4.60, BB folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $18.40, SB calls $2.73 all in

      Turn: ($19.26) T :heart: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      River: ($19.26) 8 :diamond: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      1st of all i am glad that i am back to nl25 after a downswing i had on this limit and had to move back to nl10.Anyway.I re-managed my bankroll management in a more tight and safe way.
      About the hand.

      Preflop : pretty standard imo. (my bet is pot size that's what i do for limpers and it's more quick way to do it since i play 9 tables).

      Flop : Pretty drawy.Don't really like it.Donk bet pot size from SB.Although that i don't have many hands on opponent,he is donking 77% of hands and folding 86% to cbets.So what 's my move there ? Against a nut FD (A :club: x :club:) i am ahead.If he had AK he would 3bet me pf.And i think with and JJ+ also maybe 10-10.So i don't put him on a set.Two pair is also possible there and i am almost 50-50 in this case.
      I could not call because i am commited against his stack.So its' a raise or fold.And chose raise.What do you think ?

      Thanks !

      Opponent
      A :club: Q :heart:
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello EnterG,

      Fold the flop, your hand may look good as having TP+OESD but you might be already vs AK or at least strong range. Doubt that you going to have tons of fold equity here.

      Best Regards.