[NL20-NL50] NL25sh Zoom: top 2 river decision

    • yougotfelted51
      Joined: 04.02.2010 Posts: 1,276
      villain playing 27/7 over 15 hands, is only 1 tabling
      2 other villains as well one is 39/17 fish, other is 15/14 reggish player

      i intended to bet/fold the flop

      on turn villain can still have fds and Qx mostly, i heavily discount KK/AA, two pair combos and sets because i assume villain would raise those hands up on the flop in a mw pot.

      river: villain is fairly passive so far in the hand, so i do not believe he/she will bluff river if i check. i believe villain's range is mostly KQ/AQ/missed fds in this spot.

      how much can i bet vs KQ/AQ hands and expect to be called?
      i briefly considered an overbet of around 24, however i feel that might cause villain to fold such hands rather than call....

      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $51.04 (204.2 bb)
      SB: $54.72 (218.9 bb)
      BB: $34.03 (136.1 bb)
      UTG: $12.75 (51 bb)
      MP: $30.17 (120.7 bb)
      Hero (CO): $59.99 (240 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q J
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BTN calls $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($3) 7 Q 3 (4 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2.17, BTN calls $2.17, 2 folds

      Turn: ($7.34) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.32, BTN calls $5.32

      River: ($17.98) 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $13.04, BTN calls $13.04
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      I would have played the hand the same way. Since he sometimes may show up there also KK/AA that he does not fold and may fold AQ/KQ to 20$ bet I think b/f 14$ is fine play

      best regards,