[NL2-NL10] NL10 TT squeeze

    • jozata
      jozata
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.07.2008 Posts: 646
      PKR, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      BTN: $11.79 (117.9 bb)
      SB: $10.49 (104.9 bb)
      Hero (BB): $13.36 (133.6 bb)
      UTG: $9.90 (99 bb)
      MP: $18.41 (184.1 bb)
      CO: $10.35 (103.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with T T
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, SB calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.70, CO raises to $10.35, BTN folds, SB raises to $10.49 and is all-in, Hero calls $8.79

      Flop: ($31.63) Q 7 8 (3 players, 1 is all-in)
      Turn: ($31.63) 8 (3 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($31.63) J (3 players, 1 is all-in)

      CO-VPIP/PFR/F3b/AF/Hands
      24/19/20/1.1/132
      BU VPIP/PFR/AF/Hands
      24/17/2.6/213

      Is squeezing TT here a good idea or should I flat and play for set value? Once I squeeze I need 28% equity on the call.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 27.37% 26.62% 0.75% { TT }
      MP3 36.31% 33.52% 2.79% { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }
      CO 36.31% 33.52% 2.79% { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 22.23% 21.49% 0.74% { TT }
      MP3 38.88% 35.94% 2.95% { TT+, AKs, AKo }
      CO 38.88% 35.94% 2.95% { TT+, AKs, AKo }

      So if they go broke w AQ it's break even( w rake it's not though).
      If they dont go broke w AQ it's -EV. Not sure exactly what BB is playing in this way. How would you play it here and why?
  • 1 reply
    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,807
      Hey jozata,

      Well, stacking of here is in a bit too light especially since the for 100BB and given the action how it played out. You can always call and go for set mining but isnt TT a bit too strong for such an approach. I would rather squeeze/F it because I expect to get value from weaker hand but if they jam I dont expect to be standing very good against their range.
      So 3bet/F>3bet/broke

      Best regards,